Do you think Russia and Ukraine is the conflict point of the disputed territory of the Donbas and Crimea region? The answer is no! Because the story is different than it seems visible. It’s a power shift game of the big three who want to control their part of the region, especially regarding dominations. There is a three-point conflict theory one black-sea domination, two NATO strongholds near the Russian border, three soviet blocks. Russia wants recognition of its gains in the Donbas and Crimea region to fully control the Sea of Azov coastline domination of the Black Sea.
Black Sea basin is a flashpoint due to its implications not only for European security but also for Mediterranean security.
There are three key areas where the regions will be affected by a large-scale: energy, cause regular interruptions in global energy flows LNG and Oil, agriculture, possible disruptions of trade; and refugees, humanitarian crisis on the borders like Turkey and Afghanistan along with global aid system. Russian natural gas is about 40% of the EU gas market and hence making it disruptive
Russia set out its security demands in multiple aspects: 1. Russia wants guarantees that NATO will halt its expansion along the eastern side. 2. rule out membership of Ukraine and other former CIs countries. 3. Roll back all military deployments in Central and Eastern Europe. 4. They are banning the United States from accessing the Baltics and the Black Sea.
Russia wants its dominance back in the region by building its old glory of the soviet block, and this time major players are part of it which include china, fighter Pakistan, the Gulf, and specially OPEC countries. Block will build oil resources at one zone to dominate another block, i.e., NATO. Russia seems to expand its treaty block to the European board and bring its own currencies dominance, which predicts to be Yawn. We can see multiple events after this in the coming years.
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